The Future of Security and Stability in West Africa and the Sahel
West Africa and the Sahel are entering a period of heightened uncertainty marked by overlapping security, governance, climate, and demographic pressures. Traditional crisis response mechanisms are increasingly insufficient to manage…
Conflict, Governance, and Fragility: Emerging Risk Dynamics in West Africa and the Sahel
Weak governance, contested authority, and declining trust in institutions are central drivers of conflict and fragility across West Africa and the Sahel. This report explores how governance deficits interact with…
Climate Stress, Environmental Change, and Human Security in West Africa and the Sahel
Climate variability, land degradation, and environmental change are reshaping human security across West Africa and the Sahel. These pressures exacerbate competition over resources, undermine livelihoods, and intensify displacement and conflict…
Displacement, Demographic Pressure, and Regional Stability in West Africa and the Sahel
Rapid population growth, large youth cohorts, and rising displacement are transforming social and economic landscapes across West Africa and the Sahel. While demographic change presents opportunities, unmanaged pressures increase vulnerability…
Strategic Foresight and Early Warning for Future Crises in West Africa and the Sahel
Anticipating future crises requires moving beyond reactive approaches to risk management. This report presents strategic foresight and early warning as essential tools for identifying emerging risks and supporting preventive action.…
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